Showing posts with label weather prediction. Show all posts
Showing posts with label weather prediction. Show all posts

Monday, December 27, 2010

Weapons


Climate is not about weather. Health care is not about wellness. Law is not about justice. Governance is not about order. Drilling is not about energy. Science is not about knowledge. The Israeli-Palestinian conflict is not about peace. What’s it all about?

It’s all about control. Food as a weapon; oil/gas as a weapon; rare earth as a weapon; law as a weapon; the environment as a weapon; terrorism as a weapon; health as a weapon; history as a weapon.

Actually, weapons were kinder. We could sometimes see the eyes of the person pulling the trigger; or we could see a vapor trail - something warm. Words just leave cold echoes in empty rooms. Arguments and accusations; until we can no longer be sure who said what; or even if it’s been said at all; or if we ourselves might have said it. (Talking to oneself is still considered a sign of madness.)

Madness, though, appears to be the goal. We’re made to question where we stand; find common ground. Is there even anything the mere size of a bullet to stand on?

Who thinks they’ll be able to unravel this maze we’ve created? Whose fingers would untangle this knot before it strangles us in hopeless ecstasy? Whose shoulders are strong enough to shift us back to basic - to where a spade is a spade once again?

http://pkoelliker.blogspot.com/

Wednesday, May 19, 2010

Cold Front Approaching


The problem with computer models designed to predict hurricanes, global warming, economic activity, etc. is three-fold. First, it is physically impossible to make any program complex enough to account for every factor that might have a bearing. Second, it is beyond man’s capability to determine the degree of effect any one influence has relative to any other. And, third, the initial selection of data points is purely subjective and often reflects the outcome that scientists (predictors) are predisposed to see.

Often an old man’s knee acting up in advance of bad weather is far more accurate than all of NOAA’s computer models put together. The science of weather prediction often rises to the very pinnacle of ridiculousness when just going over to the window and raising the shade would confirm that what the radio is saying at that very moment is nonsensical.

Some time ago, a huge buck with a lame leg parked itself for a few days under the Maple tree in our backyard. A female hovered nearby for the duration. After three days, the two of them left. The buck’s leg was presumably sufficiently mended without intrusive medical intervention. Presumably too, the couple stayed together without the benefit of a marriage license or the sanction of any formally ordained third party.

I have seen cancers healed by the application or ingestion of natural ayurvedic herbs along with vocal incantations and, above all, time. I have also seen the organs of others destroyed by radiation treatments. This is not to say that the ancient medical arts do not have their limitations. People still tend to die when their time comes. Yet, I will never question an old man’s prediction as he complains about the pain in his joints which he has learned is the invariable precursor to a cold front approaching.